The National Hurricane Center has reported a potential for a tropical depression to form in the Caribbean Sea, specifically concerning Invest 95L, with a 50 percent chance of development. However, the system is not expected to impact the United States. Conversely, Invest 94L is unlikely to develop further due to unfavorable conditions. Both systems will affect Central America and parts of southern Mexico, as heavy rainfall is projected over the weekend.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has observed an increased likelihood of a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean Sea, particularly concerning a system designated as Invest 95L. Presently, this system is producing extensive showers and thunderstorms across the area due to a broad low-pressure zone, which is becoming more organized north of eastern Honduras. While the conditions favor potential further development within the next couple of days, experts anticipate that any tropical depression or storm may be short-lived as it approaches landfall in Belize and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula by Saturday, with a 50 percent probability of development over the next 48 hours. In addition to Invest 95L, the NHC is monitoring a less-defined system labeled Invest 94L, characterized by disorganized convective activity stretching from the northern Leeward Islands into adjacent Atlantic waters. However, this system is unlikely to develop further due to strong upper-level winds and has been assigned only a 10 percent chance of formation in the next 48 hours. The trajectory suggests that Invest 94L will move westward toward Puerto Rico and Hispaniola this weekend, though little development is expected to occur. As the Atlantic hurricane season progresses, the next potential named storms are Nadine and Oscar.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with the National Hurricane Center serving as the primary agency for tracking and forecasting storm systems. The designation of ‘Invest’ is used for systems under investigation, allowing meteorologists to monitor their potential for development into tropical depressions or storms. The monitoring of environmental conditions, including wind patterns and pressure systems, is crucial in predicting the behavior of these systems and their likelihood of impacting land masses. The center’s advisories include probabilities that help inform preparations for potential severe weather.
In summary, while the chances for the formation of a tropical depression in the Caribbean Sea have increased, it is unlikely to impact the United States directly. The NHC continues to observe two systems in the Atlantic, identifying Invest 95L as the more significant concern for potential short-lived development. Meanwhile, another system, Invest 94L, appears to lack the necessary conditions for further strengthening.
Original Source: www.usatoday.com
