The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical systems, one of which has a 70% chance of formation. As the hurricane season approaches its end, forecasters predict continued activity, including the potential for storms impacting Texas. The season has recorded 15 named storms so far, with significant rainfall expected across the Caribbean this week.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is presently observing three tropical systems in the Atlantic, including one system with a 70% potential for formation. As the hurricane season draws to a close in November, there remains a possibility of tropical development extending into December, a rare occurrence that has not happened since Tropical Storm Olga in 2007. The forecaster AccuWeather has predicted that November may experience heightened activity, a forecast they have maintained since earlier in the season. At present, the NHC is monitoring a tropical depression in the southwestern Caribbean Sea, which might intensify into a tropical storm shortly. A broader low-pressure system is expected to develop in that region, which could lead to the formation of a tropical depression by the end of the weekend or early next week as it drifts northward. Currently, the formation chances are outlined as follows: a 70% chance in the next seven days but a lower 30% chance within the next 48 hours. However, it remains uncertain whether this system will directly influence Texas. The NHC is also tracking two additional systems: one located near Puerto Rico that is producing widespread thunderstorms, with a low development chance of 10% in both the short and long term, and another non-tropical low pressure near the Azores showing a similar low probability of development. Nevertheless, significant rainfall and risks of mudslides and flash flooding are predicted across much of the Caribbean this week, stemming from these systems even if they do not develop into tropical storms. This season has thus far recorded 15 named storms, with 10 evolving into hurricanes. Early forecasts had anticipated a particularly intense hurricane season with predictions of 17 to 24 named storms and 8 to 13 potential hurricanes. As such, residents should remain vigilant and informed as the season progresses.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially spans from June 1 to November 30 each year and is characterized by increased storm activity, particularly in the latter months. The National Hurricane Center tracks various tropical systems, which may or may not develop into named storms or hurricanes. AccuWeather, a forecasting service, provides predictions on storm formation and the potential impact on various regions, including Texas, particularly as the season nears its conclusion. Historical data suggests that the likelihood of storms increasing in frequency around this time of year is significant, thus prompting heightened awareness and preparedness among coastal populations.
In summary, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical systems, with a noted system in the southwestern Caribbean having a 70% formation chance. Although there is uncertainty regarding potential impacts on Texas, the possibility of active storms in November remains prevalent, with forecasts predicting continued tropical activity into December. Residents are urged to stay informed and prepared as the season continues to unfold.
Original Source: www.statesman.com
