Iran is grappling with setbacks in supporting the Assad regime in Syria as proxy forces weaken and opposition groups like HTS gain ground. Following losses among Hezbollah and intensified clashes, Iran is seeking to strengthen its military and diplomatic efforts with regional allies, while facing the reality of diminished capabilities to sustain its influence in Syria.
Iran is currently facing significant challenges in supporting the Syrian regime, a key part of its “Axis of Resistance” which includes groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iraqi militias. Following the recent surge in terrorist activities in Syria, attributed to a perceived US-Israeli conspiracy to undermine the Assad regime, Iranian officials express concern for the future of their allies. Amid mounting pressure from opposing forces, including Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), Iran has made attempts to bolster its support for the Syrian government, albeit with dwindling resources among its proxies.
Hezbollah has been significantly weakened after enduring heavy losses in its conflicts with Israel, having reportedly lost over 3,000 fighters, leaving fewer resources available to aid the Syrian regime. Iran has reached out to its regional counterparts, including Russia, to discuss how to address the deteriorating situation in Syria, particularly in Aleppo where HTS poses a substantial threat. Discussions have taken place to strategize a response to what Iran perceives as a coordinated attack by foreign-backed militants coinciding with a fragile ceasefire with Israel.
Despite fears surrounding the instability of the Assad regime, Iranian military officials indicate a potential deployment of forces to Syria should the need arise. However, the reluctance remains to send Iranian troops directly into combat, favoring the use of proxy forces instead. Amid strategizing with Iraqi militias and Hezbollah, Iran continues to grapple with the implications of maintaining control over strategic regions such as the Euphrates River valley, which is increasingly under threat by clashes with the SDF.
The conflict in Syria has drawn in various regional powers, with Iran playing a crucial role in supporting the Assad regime. Following intense clashes and shifting dynamics with opposition forces, including HTS, Iran finds itself in a precarious position. This situation is compounded by the weakening of Iran’s proxy groups, which have historically provided military assistance to the Syrian government. Understanding these dynamics sheds light on Iran’s current strategies and the broader geopolitical implications in the region.
In conclusion, Iran’s support for the Assad regime faces critical challenges due to the weakening of its proxies in the region and increasing military pressure from opposition forces. The Iranian leadership is actively seeking alliances and exploiting diplomatic channels to shore up support for Syria amidst a precarious security landscape. Without significant military reinforcements or favorable shifts in alliances, the future of the Assad regime appears increasingly at risk.
Original Source: www.jpost.com
