The article examines the challenges faced by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad amidst unprecedented Israeli attacks and a renewed rebel offensive. Despite diplomatic efforts by the U.S. and Gulf states to sever his ties with Iran and Hezbollah, the resurgence of opposition forces threatens Assad’s control, potentially solidifying his reliance on Iranian support for regime survival.
The ongoing conflict in Syria has entered a new chapter as President Bashar al-Assad faces renewed challenges against the backdrop of intensified Israeli airstrikes. Simultaneously, the United States and Gulf countries have pursued diplomatic efforts to weaken Assad’s longstanding ties with Iran and Hezbollah. Despite these efforts, the emergence of resurgent rebel forces has complicated the situation, leading to significant territorial gains against Assad’s regime, particularly in Aleppo and the northwest of Syria. Experts now believe that these challenges will reinforce Assad’s reliance on Iran and its allies, who continue to play a crucial role in his fight for power amid escalating violence.
Syria’s geopolitical significance stems from its strategic location, which provides a vital pathway for Iranian support to Hezbollah, a key ally in Lebanon. Israel and the United States perceive cutting this corridor as critical to countering Iranian influence in the region. The recent Israeli military campaign following an increase in hostilities with Hamas presented what appeared to be a unique opportunity to compel Assad to reconsider his affiliations. However, the resurgence of rebel groups threatens to undo these diplomatic calculations.
In summary, while there were initiatives aimed at weakening Assad’s connection to Iran, the current dynamics in Syria, marked by successful rebel offensives, may ultimately fortify that alliance. Assad’s reliance on Iranian support is likely to intensify as he seeks to combat the dual threats posed by internal opposition and external military pressure. The situation remains fluid, highlighting the complexities of regional power dynamics amid ongoing conflicts.
Original Source: www.nytimes.com
