Egypt expresses apprehension following the Islamist gain in Syria, recalibrating its foreign relations post-Assad’s ousting. While other Arab states quickly recognized the new regime, Egypt has adopted a cautious approach, emphasizing inclusivity and stability given its historical conflict with the Muslim Brotherhood. The shifting geopolitical landscape, particularly in relation to Iranian and Turkish influence, poses additional concerns for Cairo.
Cairo is navigating heightened apprehension following the Islamist ascendance in Syria, which has occurred years after President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s governmental takeover. Egypt, which historically maintained support for Bashar al-Assad, is recalibrating its relationships amidst concerns about the influence of Islamist factions, specifically Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Merissa Khurma from the Wilson Center articulated Egypt’s concern about the implications of the Brotherhood’s historical presence in the region.
In contrast to other Arab states that have quickly recognized the new administration in Damascus, Egypt has adopted a more measured approach. While the Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty reached out to Syria’s new Foreign Minister, the ensuing discussions focused on promoting inclusivity rather than immediate diplomatic normalization. Concurrently, an Egyptian humanitarian aid flight marked Cairo’s initial support to Syria since the political upheaval.
Egypt’s response has been notably subdued, with statements from President Sisi highlighting the autonomy of the Syrian people in deciding their future. Mirette Mabrouk from the Middle East Institute acknowledged Egypt’s ongoing vigilance against any potential unrest reminiscent of the events in Syria. Interestingly, domestic reactions included detainment of Syrians celebrating Assad’s ousting, indicating Cairo’s concern over its internal security policy.
Following the power shift in Syria, the broader geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East have shifted. The decline of Iranian influence and the ascendance of Turkish authority alarm Egypt, considering its historical rivalry with Turkey. David Schenker from the Washington Institute remarked upon Egypt’s desire to avoid diplomatic isolation while emphasizing the likelihood that Egypt’s involvement in Syria would come with contingencies, focusing on regional stability and minority rights.
The apprehension felt in Egypt stems from the historical context of the Muslim Brotherhood’s influence in the region and its implications for Egypt’s governance. The country has a fraught history with Islamist movements, particularly following the 2011 Arab Spring which saw the rise of the Brotherhood. Sisi’s regime, established in 2013, has prioritized stability and security, perceiving any Islamist resurgence as a threat. The recent shifts in Syria significantly alter the geopolitical landscape, prompting Egypt to re-evaluate its strategic alliances amidst rising Turkish influence.
In summary, Egypt’s response to the Islamist takeover in Syria reflects a cautious yet strategic recalibration of its foreign policy. Key concerns revolve around the historical implications of the Muslim Brotherhood, security threats posed by Islamist factions, and the shifting dynamics with regional powers, particularly Turkey. As Egypt navigates these changes, it remains focused on maintaining stability both domestically and regionally, underpinning its approach with a commitment to cautious diplomacy and security interests.
Original Source: www.france24.com
