General Joseph Aoun is emerging as the leading candidate for the Lebanese presidency as discussions intensify and Suleiman Frangieh may withdraw his candidacy. French envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian’s meetings in Beirut have bolstered Aoun’s position, potentially securing crucial parliamentary support. Aoun’s election could signify a resolution to Lebanon’s prolonged political stalemate as the parliament prepares for its 13th attempt to elect a president.
Recent developments in Lebanese politics indicate that Army Chief General Joseph Aoun is increasingly positioned to become the country’s next president, following a prolonged vacancy in the office since October 2022. As the Lebanese parliament prepared for its election session, reports emerged suggesting that Suleiman Frangieh, a candidate favored by Hezbollah, may withdraw, thereby paving the way for General Aoun. French envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian’s visit to Beirut has also contributed to this emerging consensus, as he recommended Aoun for consideration among political factions, despite constitutional concerns regarding his current military role.
The support from Hezbollah and the Amal Movement is crucial for General Aoun, potentially granting him 95 votes in the 128-member parliament, thus circumventing the need for a constitutional amendment. Optimism has risen among political figures, including Prime Minister Najib Mikati, who expressed hope for a resolution after a lengthy period of political deadlock. The upcoming electoral session represents the 13th attempt to elect a president, with the stakes high given the fissures in Lebanese political alliances.
Amid historical political divisions and the ongoing conflict with Israel, the number of viable presidential candidates has diminished significantly. In addition to Aoun, Frangieh, and Azour, other less-discussed candidates such as Samir Geagea and Elias Al-Bayssari also remain in consideration. The Lebanese Forces party has indicated a shift towards Aoun, reflecting broader discussions among parliamentary blocs aimed at finding a unifying candidate for the presidency. Furthermore, the Maronite Archbishops Council has called for a more cohesive national effort to elect a president who can foster unity and revitalize Lebanon’s standing on the regional stage.
The presidency in Lebanon has remained unfilled for over two years, a situation characterized by persistent political deadlock and factional disagreements. The vacancy followed the termination of former President Michel Aoun’s term in October 2022, leading to multiple failed attempts to agree on a successor. The stakes heightened in the backdrop of complex political dynamics, particularly the influence of Hezbollah and its allies. Recent political maneuverings, including visits from international diplomats like the French envoy, have aimed at facilitating consensus around a presidential candidate. General Aoun’s candidacy emerges against a backdrop of diminished options and increasing pressure from various political factions to reach an accord.
In conclusion, the political landscape in Lebanon is showing signs of potential resolution as General Joseph Aoun rises as a leading candidate for the presidency. Supported by Hezbollah and amid shifting dynamics in parliamentary relations, Aoun’s bid could finally fill a long-vacant office, which has remained a point of contention for over 26 months. The approaching session marks a critical moment in Lebanese politics, with the hope of achieving a consensus candidate to unify the country going forward.
Original Source: www.arabnews.com
