A study reveals that climate change could reduce suitable cocoa production areas in West and Central Africa by 50% by 2050, predominantly affecting regions in Ivory Coast and Ghana. Cocoa farming may shift toward Nigeria and Cameroon, raising environmental concerns regarding deforestation and biodiversity. Further research is essential to navigate these challenges.
A recent study indicates that climate change is likely to significantly impact cocoa production in West and Central Africa, regions which account for more than 70% of the global cocoa supply. The research focused on four major cocoa-producing nations: Ivory Coast, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon, with the largest outputs being from Ivory Coast and Ghana.
The study analyzed historical cocoa yield data from 1980 to 2010 and projected future cocoa yields from 2030 to 2060 using a mechanistic cocoa crop model named CASEJ. This model simulates cocoa growth and yield under varying climate conditions, assessing the effects of climate change scenarios regarding temperature and precipitation. The findings suggest a potential loss of 50% of the currently suitable area for cocoa farming by 2050 due to changing climate conditions.
The study’s outcomes signify a potential shift in cocoa production, with areas in Ivory Coast and Ghana likely experiencing the most substantial yield reductions. As cocoa cultivation may migrate toward Nigeria and Cameroon, it presents significant challenges for managing forestry and biodiversity in these regions. Continued research on the effects of climate change on cocoa crops remains critical for sustainable agricultural practices.
Original Source: www.downtoearth.org.in
