Armenia’s government approved a draft law on January 9, 2025, to initiate its EU membership bid, reflecting a shift from its reliance on Russia. In 2017, the CEPA was established, strengthening ties with the EU. The European Parliament affirmed Armenia’s eligibility for EU membership in March 2024, leading Prime Minister Pashinyan to outline plans for a candidacy application by autumn 2024. A national referendum will accompany this process.
On January 9, 2025, the Armenian government approved a draft law to formally begin the process of joining the European Union. This progressive step illustrates Armenia’s desire to strengthen its European ties and indicates a possible shift in its geopolitical alignment.
In 2017, Armenia signed the Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with the EU, which took effect in March 2021, establishing a foundation for enhanced political and economic collaboration. Since this agreement, Armenia has been diligently fortifying its relationship with Europe.
In March 2024, a resolution by the European Parliament confirmed that Armenia qualifies under Article 49 of the Maastricht Treaty, paving the way for its EU membership application. Following this resolution, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced intentions to submit the EU candidacy application by autumn 2024. A grassroots initiative by citizens successfully garnered enough support, prompting the government to advance the draft law to initiate accession proceedings.
Prime Minister Pashinyan has emphasized the need for a gradual accession process, which would entail a national referendum to determine public support. He stated, “In the event of the adoption of this law, it is necessary to have a certain idea of actions up to the point of holding or not holding a potential referendum.”
The geopolitical ramifications of Armenia’s EU membership bid are significant, representing a departure from its long-standing alliance with Russia. Historically dependent on Russia for security, Armenia is also a member of the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). The Kremlin has voiced apprehensions regarding Armenia’s EU ambitions, stating that dual membership in the EU and EAEU is unfeasible.
This bid for EU integration coincides with heightened tensions with Azerbaijan, particularly following conflicts over Nagorno-Karabakh which resulted in the displacement of ethnic Armenians. Armenia’s evolving geopolitical landscape may be influencing its pursuit of closer relations with European entities.
Armenia’s decision to seek EU membership indicates a significant shift in its geopolitical strategy, moving away from dependence on Russia towards greater integration with Europe. The process is expected to be gradual, with necessary public consultations ensuring that any decisions reflect the will of the Armenian people. This transformation may also be driven by existing regional tensions, underscoring Armenia’s vulnerability.
Original Source: globalsouthworld.com