This article discusses Zimbabwe’s political landscape following Robert Mugabe’s ousting and the challenges faced in its potential return to the Commonwealth. It highlights the divergent assessments of the Secretary-General and the Commonwealth Observer Group regarding Zimbabwe’s democratic progress and public support for reintegration into the Commonwealth, emphasizing ongoing concerns about commitment to reform.
In November 2017, Robert Mugabe was ousted from power in Zimbabwe following a military coup. His successor, Emmerson Mnangagwa, came to power amidst celebrations for potential change from the corruption and violence of the past. Mnangagwa indicated a desire for Zimbabwe to return to the Commonwealth, a move welcomed by Commonwealth Secretary-General Baroness Scotland, who emphasized the need for compliance with the Commonwealth Charter before rejoining.
Following the disputed elections of 2018, which saw increased violence and unrest, Zimbabwe’s hope for Commonwealth reintegration faced hurdles. Although Commonwealth officials noted progress, international observers, including the European Union and the African Development Community, pointed out serious shortcomings in the electoral process. Notably, Professor Stephen Chan, a seasoned analyst, was deported upon arrival as authorities accused him of training insurgents.
In 2024, the Commonwealth Observer Group’s report, submitted to the Secretary-General, was expected to critique the electoral integrity. Although described as ‘positive’ by Secretariat officials, it faced resistance regarding requested changes. The report’s handling was seen as irregular since it took more than a year for public release, contravening Commonwealth guidelines for timely publication.
Both the COG report and the Secretary-General’s informal assessment share concerns regarding Zimbabwe’s democratic challenges. The assessment highlighted some progress while underscoring ongoing issues such as electoral reforms and restrictions on civil liberties. Conversely, the COG expressed significant skepticism about the government’s commitment to reform, noting insufficient legislative changes and an inadequate demonstration of democratic reform.
A stark divergence emerged in assessing public support for Zimbabwe’s Commonwealth membership. The Secretary-General, after three assessment missions, maintained that widespread enthusiasm existed for Zimbabwe’s reintegration into the Commonwealth. However, challenges persist concerning internal commitment to necessary political reforms.
In conclusion, Zimbabwe’s journey toward potential re-entry into the Commonwealth remains fraught with challenges. While there are indications of positive intentions from the current government, significant skepticism persists regarding its commitment to genuine democratic reform. The contrasting assessments between the Commonwealth Secretary-General and the Observer Group highlight the complex political landscape of Zimbabwe, indicating a need for sustained scrutiny and action moving forward.
Original Source: www.commonwealthroundtable.co.uk
