The escalating conflict in Gaza has prompted China to reconsider its diplomatic strategy in the Middle East, moving from a hedging approach to a more active role. Chinese officials acknowledge the Palestinian question’s significance for regional stability, and the country’s future engagement will focus on enhancing ties with Gulf states, supporting Palestinian rights, and addressing evolving geopolitical challenges.
China’s longstanding approach to the Middle East has centered on achieving economic benefits while minimizing political risks. The ongoing conflict in Gaza has prompted a reevaluation of this diplomatic strategy, as traditional power dynamics have shifted dramatically. In response, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has emphasized that the resolution of the Palestinian question is crucial for achieving peace and security in the region.
The changing dynamics necessitate a move away from China’s previous strategy of hedging — a policy aimed at maintaining neutral relations with all parties. This strategy facilitated significant economic partnerships, particularly concerning energy and the Belt and Road Initiative, while enhancing China’s technological engagements through the Digital Silk Road, aligning with Gulf states’ aspirations for advanced digital economies.
Approximately a decade ago, this hedging strategy evolved into a more proactive approach, with scholars advocating for “quasi-mediation diplomacy.” This involved bolstering China’s role in political and security dialogues and fostering partnerships, characterized by a “zero-enemy policy.” Recent agreements with key regional players, such as Iran and a reconciliation deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran, are reflective of this shift toward stronger diplomatic engagement.
The Gaza conflict has precipitated notable shifts in the regional landscape, marked by Israel’s aggressive territorial ambitions, decreased Iranian influence, and the steadfast support of the United States for Israel. These developments present challenges for China, compelling it to take a more responsible role in regional security dynamics, essential for countering US-Israeli strategies and protecting its national interests.
Former US President Trump’s tough rhetoric on Palestinian issues and the Iran stance underscores the complexity of the situation, further complicating China’s regional aspirations. As negotiations proceed, the expected US pressure on Iran and the promotion of normalization with Israel by Gulf Cooperation Council countries could necessitate a distancing from China, potentially jeopardizing Beijing’s strategic partnerships.
To navigate the changing landscape, China must adopt a comprehensive strategy that supports Gulf states’ strategic autonomy while reinforcing its presence in energy, economic, and security domains. Additionally, fostering stronger ties with Saudi Arabia, enhancing collaborative efforts with Iran, and advocating for Palestinian rights will be paramount. This shift from a passive to a more engaged role is critical for sustaining China’s long-term interests in the Middle East and supporting a multipolar world order.
In summary, the Gaza conflict has catalyzed a necessary reevaluation of China’s Middle East policy, compelling it to adopt a more proactive diplomatic stance. As the region undergoes significant political transformation, China must secure its economic and strategic interests by enhancing partnerships with Gulf states, supporting Palestinian rights, and recognizing the ramifications of US policies. Such actions are vital for establishing a stable and multipolar regional order.
Original Source: www.arabnews.com
