Forecasters are monitoring active disturbances in the Caribbean, with one system south of Jamaica having a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression in the coming week. Another disturbance near Puerto Rico and a non-tropical low-pressure area in the northern Atlantic are under scrutiny for potential development. Heavy rainfall is anticipated across certain areas, regardless of storm formation.
Forecasters have indicated that the Caribbean, which remains active during this hurricane season, may produce a new storm in the upcoming week. The National Hurricane Center is diligently monitoring multiple tropical disturbances that exhibit potential for development into more robust systems. One such disturbance, which has been observed south of Jamaica, has been assigned a 60% likelihood of intensifying into a tropical depression over the next seven days, with an initial 10% chance over the next two days. Experts suggest that if this system continues on its current path, it is likely to reach a tropical depression status by the weekend or early next week as it gradually shifts northward and northwestward. The forecasters further advised that regardless of whether the system develops, there remains a potential for locally heavy rainfall across certain regions in the coming days. Moreover, a new disturbance identified on Thursday afternoon is a trough of low pressure positioned near Puerto Rico, which has been given a 10% probability of forming over the next two to seven days. This system is anticipated to progress west-northwestward adjacent to the Greater Antilles over the next 2-3 days, after which it is expected to merge with a low-pressure area over the Caribbean. In addition, the hurricane center classified a third disturbance encompassing a non-tropical low-pressure area located in the northern Atlantic. As of 2 p.m. on Thursday, it has been allocated a 20% chance of development within the next two to seven days.
Hurricane season, which typically runs from June 1 to November 30, presents the possibility of tropical storms and hurricanes forming in the Caribbean and adjacent areas. This period is marked by increased atmospheric activity that can lead to severe weather patterns, including heavy rainfall and strong winds. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) plays a critical role in monitoring storm development, providing timely updates and warnings to mitigate the impact on populated regions. Forecasting models utilize a variety of meteorological data to assess the likelihood of storm formations, which is essential for preparedness and response efforts in affected areas. Additionally, understanding the specific dynamics of each disturbance, such as its location and wind patterns, aids forecasters in predicting its potential path and intensity.
In summary, the Caribbean remains under vigilant observation due to the potential for new storm development as forecasters track several disturbances. A particular system south of Jamaica shows significant promise for becoming a tropical depression soon, while additional systems near Puerto Rico and the northern Atlantic may also evolve. The public is advised to remain informed and prepared as heavy rain and storm conditions could arise in the coming days.
Original Source: www.miamiherald.com
